Release Date Forecast Calculator

Release Date Forecast Calculator

Wondering when the remaining backlog will actually be done? This calculator forecasts release timing based on your team's historical velocity.

Sprints Needed = ceil(Remaining Story Points / Average Velocity Per Sprint)

Example

120 remaining story points, averaging 25 points per sprint, 2-week sprints:

Sprints Needed = ceil(120/25) = 5 → ~10 weeks

Why Use an Average, Not a Single Sprint

This forecast assumes velocity stays consistent with the team's recent historical average - using a rolling average across several recent sprints (rather than cherry-picking a single best or worst sprint) typically produces a more reliable, less volatile forecast.

Backlog Growth Isn't Included

This calculates time to clear the currently known remaining backlog - it doesn't account for new stories, scope additions, or discovered work commonly added mid-project, all of which will push the actual forecasted date later than this baseline estimate.